EURUSD Haftalık Analiz

1. Economic Data Releases:
• Eurozone: Recent data from the Eurozone has shown mixed signals. The latest GDP growth figures were slightly below expectations, indicating a slower economic recovery. However, the inflation rate remains high, which might prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to consider further tightening measures.
• United States: In the U.S., the latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed stronger-than-expected job growth, which supports the Federal Reserve’s stance on maintaining higher interest rates for longer. Additionally, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data indicated persistent inflationary pressures.

2. Central Bank Policies:
• ECB: The ECB is expected to maintain a cautious approach, balancing between supporting economic growth and controlling inflation. Any hints of future rate hikes or changes in monetary policy will be closely watched by the markets.
• Federal Reserve: The Fed’s recent statements have reinforced their commitment to combating inflation, suggesting that interest rates will remain elevated. This hawkish stance is likely to support the USD against the EUR.

3. Geopolitical Factors:
• Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly in Eastern Europe, continue to create uncertainty in the markets. This uncertainty often leads to increased demand for safe-haven assets like the USD, putting downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

4. Market Sentiment:
• Investor sentiment remains cautious due to the mixed economic signals and geopolitical uncertainties. This cautious sentiment is reflected in the recent price movements of the EUR/USD, which have shown increased volatility.

The EUR/USD pair has been experiencing limited changes, hovering around 1.0820, after facing resistance near 1.0900 for four consecutive weeks. The pair's movement reflects a market still uncertain about future economic directions.