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Weekly Analysis List

EUR/USD Weekly Analysis

4/7/25

EUR/USD Weekly Analysis

Market Overview

As of April 7, 2025, the EUR/USD currency pair has experienced notable volatility influenced by recent economic developments and geopolitical events.

Recent Performance:
Price Movements: The EUR/USD pair reached a multi-month high of 1.1145 before declining to approximately 1.0962. This fluctuation reflects market reactions to recent U.S. tariff implementations and the evolving trade dynamics between the U.S. and the European Union.
Technical Analysis:
Support and Resistance Levels:
• Support: 1.0945, 1.0864, and 1.0742.
• Resistance: 1.0986, 1.1027, and 1.1108.
The pair is currently testing the support at 1.0945. A rebound from this level could indicate a resumption of the upward trend, while a break below may suggest further downside potential.
Technical Indicators:
• Marlin Oscillator: Indicates signs of resuming growth after stabilizing in positive territory.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): Approaching oversold levels, suggesting potential for a bullish reversal.
These indicators point towards a possible continuation of the bullish trend, contingent on maintaining support levels.
Fundamental Factors:
• U.S. Tariffs: The recent imposition of U.S. tariffs on European goods has introduced uncertainty, impacting investor sentiment and contributing to the pair's volatility.
• Federal Reserve Policy: Fed Chair Jerome Powell's indication of a patient approach to interest rate adjustments, amidst concerns of stagflation, has influenced market expectations and the USD's performance.

Conclusion

Outlook:
The trajectory of the EUR/USD pair will likely be shaped by ongoing trade negotiations, economic data releases, and central bank communications. Traders should closely monitor support and resistance levels, as well as developments in U.S.-EU trade relations and upcoming economic indicators.

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