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Weekly Analysis List

XAU/USD Weekly Analysis

5/26/25

XAU/USD Weekly Analysis

Market Overview

XAU/USD Weekly Analysis (26–30 May 2025)
Market Overview
• Current Price: ~$3,335 per ounce
• Weekly Range: $3,295 – $3,375
• Trend: Bullish with potential consolidation

Technical Outlook
• Support Levels: $3,295, $3,260, $3,208
• Resistance Levels: $3,370, $3,400, $3,500
• Indicators:
• RSI: Near overbought, hinting at consolidation
• MACD: Positive, supports bullish trend
• Moving Averages: Above 20, 50, and 100-day SMAs, showing upward momentum
Gold is consolidating below $3,350. A daily close above $3,370–$3,375 may signal a continued uptrend toward record highs.
Fundamental Developments
• US Fiscal Concerns: The House passed a tax bill adding $3.8 trillion to debt, weakening the dollar and supporting gold.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts like the Russia-Ukraine war and US-Iran tensions increase gold demand.
• Central Bank Activity: Ongoing purchases bolster the bullish outlook for gold.
Weekly Outlook & Strategy
• Bullish Scenario: Sustaining above $3,370 could target $3,400 and $3,500.
• Bearish Scenario: Dropping below $3,295 could lead to $3,260 or $3,208.
• Neutral Scenario: Consolidation between $3,295 and $3,370 before the next move.
Key Events This Week
• 28 May (Wednesday): US Durable Goods Orders, Consumer Confidence Index
• 29 May (Thursday): US Initial Jobless Claims, GDP Second Estimate
• 30 May (Friday): US Core PCE Price Index

Conclusion

Investment Insight
Gold's bullish trend is supported by technical indicators and fundamentals like US fiscal concerns and geopolitical tensions. Traders should watch key levels and upcoming US data for market movements.

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