
Weekly Analysis List
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis
7/7/25

Market Overview
π‘ XAU/USD Weekly Analysis (July 7β11, 2025)
π Market Snapshot
β’ Current Price (July 7): $3,311.09/oz, down ~0.7% on Monday amid easing tariff tensions
β’ Last Weekβs Range: $3,300β3,366
β’ Weekly Performance: Gold pulled back from mid-week highs after trade reprieve news and strong U.S. labor data weighed on safe-haven demand
π Technical Overview
β’ Support Levels:
o $3,300 β Key short-term floor, tested early in the week
o $3,260β3,265 β Near-term support zone highlighted in triangle pattern
o $3,120β3,136 β Deeper technical base if broader correction unfolds
β’ Resistance Levels:
o $3,345β3,350 β Recent swing top, short-term ceiling
o $3,400 β Round number mark and breakout target
o $3,447 β April highs and upper resistance band
β’ Momentum Indicators:
o Price slipped below the 50-day EMA, signaling a mild bearish tilt
o RSI/Stochastics moderating from overbought levels, suggesting short-term consolidation
π° Fundamental Drivers
β’ Tariff Developments: President Trumpβs tariff extension relief eased safe-haven demand, pressuring gold
β’ U.S. Labor Strength: Strong job gains reduced expectations for a July Fed cut, supporting the dollar and weighing on gold
β’ Geopolitical Relief: Calmer Middle East tone moderated the risk premium in gold
π
This Weekβs Key Events
β’ July 9 (Wed) β Fed minutes release
β’ July 11 (Fri) β U.S. PPI & Consumer Sentiment; tariff deadline updates
β’ Ongoing β Trade headlines, Fed signals, and any geopolitical flare-ups
π Weekly Outlook & Strategy
πΌ Bullish Case
β’ $3,300+ holds β look for rebounds toward $3,345β3,350
β’ A breakout above $3,350 could revisit $3,400 and possibly push toward $3,447
π½ Bearish Case
β’ Failure below $3,300 targets $3,260β3,265; if broken, $3,120β3,136 may come into play
β’ Sustained USD strength or easing risk could deepen the drop
Conclusion
π‘ Trader Tip
βGold remains in a consolidation pattern between $3,300 and $3,350, with momentum fading. Watch closely for Fed minutes mid-week and tariff headlinesβthese could trigger a directional breakout. A dip below $3,300 would favor the bears; otherwise, dips can be bought toward $3,350-$3,400.β
