
Weekly Analysis List
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis
7/14/25

Market Overview
🟡 XAU/USD Weekly Analysis (14–18 July 2025)
📊 Market Snapshot
• Current Price (July 14): $3,343.00/oz, after initially reaching a three week high.
• Last Week's Range: $3,332 – $3,372; gold rallied but pulled back amid profit taking.
🔍 Technical Overview
• Support Levels:
o $3,332–$3,335 – current short-term floor near weekly lows .
o $3,300 – major support, held multiple times .
o $3,275–$3,280 – deeper base if risk sentiment improves.
• Resistance Levels:
o $3,365–$3,372 – recent intraday highs.
o $3,400 – psychological and technical barrier.
o $3,434 – upper band target in extended bullish breakout.
• Momentum Indicators:
o Bullish bias intact; RSI & MACD suggesting upward tilt.
o Short-term consolidation expected after the strong rally.
📰 Fundamental Drivers
• Safe Haven Inflows: Escalating U.S. tariff rhetoric (including threats to Canada, EU, Japan, S. Korea) drove demand.
• Mixed U.S. Economic Data: Strong labor and inflation prints kept the dollar firm—but also fueled gold's appeal as a hedge .
• Fed Caution: Ongoing speculation around rate cuts and mixed Fed guidance keep gold attractive .
• Geopolitical Uncertainty: Trade and policy headlines remain major catalysts for safe-haven flows.
📅 Key Events This Week
• Wednesday, July 16:
o Fed minutes – crucial for direction on rate policy
• Friday, July 18:
o U.S. PPI + Consumer Sentiment – potentially impact dollar and inflation outlooks
• Ongoing:
o New trade/tariff developments – continue to influence sentiment
📌 Weekly Outlook & Strategy
🔼 Bullish Case
• Hold above $3,332–$3,335 → push toward $3,365–$3,372.
• Breakout above → likely move toward $3,400; extended targets at $3,434+.
🔽 Bearish Case
• Fall below $3,332 → could dip toward $3,300, then $3,275–$3,280.
• Reversal in risk sentiment or firm U.S. data may pressure downside.
Conclusion
💡 Trader Tip
“Gold remains in a bullish consolidation between $3,332 and $3,372, driven by tariff-driven safe-haven flows and Fed uncertainty. Holding above support keeps upside in play; weakness below could open a deeper pullback. Keep a close eye on Fed minutes and tariff headlines.”